Icky-Maternity
0xaeb07df886f9a99742be49a88f8670dadb177473
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.56
Total PnL
$-27.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 9.2¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.56
$0.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
29 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.58Jul 3, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.14Jun 28, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.12Jun 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.03Jun 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.02Jun 26, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.03Jun 26, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 26, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.04Jun 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 26, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.07Jun 26, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1.96Jun 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$1.02Jun 13, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?$1.03Jun 13, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 13, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.