Piercing-Likeness
0xaeb74495ea9cdbf94f747263c9c44ddade7895c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-517.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5839 shares @ 85.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.5K
$-518.76
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 28?$10.38May 31, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 28?$10.02May 27, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$10.05May 27, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$2.02Apr 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$85.00Mar 14, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$85.00Mar 14, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$530.55Mar 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$888.27Mar 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.1KMar 14, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$3.8KMar 14, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$268.88Mar 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.3KMar 13, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$2.25Mar 12, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$5.0KMar 11, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$5.0KMar 11, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$5.0KMar 9, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?$2.00Mar 6, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$2.00Mar 6, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$2.00Mar 6, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 6, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $776.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.