Faraway-Bail
0xaec91cddf6004c82f27a6216488bc817c36f9ce4
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$382.71
Total PnL
$-10.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
2026 Balance of Power: Other
45 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$44.64
$0.04
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
181 shares @ 5.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$35.73
$26.69
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
35 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$34.91
$-0.02
- NO
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
35 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.95
$0.40
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
30 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.90
$0.15
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
30 shares @ 92.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.98
$-0.77
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
25 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.96
$0.33
- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
23 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$22.59
$0.22
- NO
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
21 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.70
$1.59
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
21 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.84
$0.52
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$5.50Jun 9, 07:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$29.75Jun 8, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$44.61Jun 8, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?$22.38Jun 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?$7.54Jun 8, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana divorced?$14.93Jun 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.05Jun 8, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$34.93Jun 8, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 8, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$23.00Jun 8, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$52.00Jun 8, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$99.99Jun 8, 15:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $17.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.