Livid-Timetable
0xaf008eb55ea4dbd63a1b93d6f3e6f2fb578c0c1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$177.48
Total PnL
$-522.42
Realised
$1.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
91 shares @ 62.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$57.64
$0.82
- NO
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
60 shares @ 76.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.60
$-3.00
- YES
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?
40 shares @ 49.5¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.60
$0.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?
36 shares @ 49.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$17.65
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$13.50
$-4.50
- NO
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
200 shares @ 56.8¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.80
$-105.70
- NO
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 84.9¢·now 89.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.94
$0.14
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
50 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.55
$-0.25
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12 shares @ 5.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.37
$0.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$7.67Jun 26, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$10.00Jun 26, 07:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.42Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$8.08Jun 26, 02:12 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$9.63Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$24.90Jun 25, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$21.69Jun 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$11.88Jun 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$8.63Jun 25, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$2.92Jun 25, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$18.08Jun 25, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$3.10Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$6.36Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$7.99Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$3.10Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$3.17Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$13.37Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$12.80Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$63.00Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.