Old-Sunshine
0xaf17116ae2b1476032785a67bd5b7c8c05905c20
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$223.09
Win rate
47%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$849.50
$349.50
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$150.50
$-349.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?
300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$46.05
$42.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14?
344 shares @ 5.9¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$26.11
$5.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?
496 shares @ 6.8¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$20.56
$-13.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?
638 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.96
$-8.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 14?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.20
$-2.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 14?
400 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.20
$-6.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14?
327 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.16
$-12.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 14?
319 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.16
$-1.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?$2.51Jun 14, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$47.86Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?$0.26Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?$0.22Jun 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?$8.99Jun 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?$0.71Jun 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?$0.21Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on June 14?$0.24Jun 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?$21.76Jun 14, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?$9.46Jun 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$17.71Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$9.10Jun 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$1.55Jun 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$0.11Jun 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$18.19Jun 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14?$19.23Jun 14, 02:44 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.95Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.79Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 14?$2.30Jun 13, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.