Junior-Answer
0xaf1fb39184b4522c1f0ddf6d62e45bde1dc14af9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$148.84
Total PnL
$-125.06
Realised
$23.80
Win rate
9%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 93.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- WASHINGTON MYSTICS
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$5.26
$0.06
- NO
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$5.09
$-0.04
- NO
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$4.78
$-0.32
- NO
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$4.47
$0.35
- NO
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
6 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$4.11
$0.03
- NO
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$4.10
$-0.02
- UNDER
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$4.05
$-0.04
- OVER
Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5
5 shares @ 78.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$4.03
$-0.05
- OVER
Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5
42 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$3.78
$-0.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMChunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows$0.00Aug 21, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMChunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows$3.36Aug 21, 14:23 UTC
- MERGEExact Score: Olympique de Marseille 1 - 1 RC Strasbourg Alsace?$1.14Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
- MERGESeinajoen JK vs. FC Lahti: O/U 4.5$1.24Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
- MERGETigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to Score$2.04Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?$3.46Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
- MERGEWill FC Dinamo Batumi win on 2026-08-21?$4.33Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
- MERGEFC Meshakhte Tkibuli vs. FC Dinamo Batumi: O/U 3.5$4.33Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
- MERGEITF W35 Erwitte Women: Valentina Steiner vs Sahaja Yamalapalli$4.47Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5$1.10Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5$1.10Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYErzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5$1.05Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5$1.10Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5$1.10Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5$1.06Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandard Liege vs. RAAL La Louviere: Standard Liege O/U 1.5$1.06Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandard Liege vs. RAAL La Louviere: Standard Liege O/U 1.5$1.06Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?$1.05Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics$1.07Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics$1.07Aug 21, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 68 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
68 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.