Old-Heat
0xaf2c4480c41dc984a139c753ff28c90acac6bbe3
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$98.09
Total PnL
$-11.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
194 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$98.09
$-0.92
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
67 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kleber Mendonça Filho be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
33 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.00Mar 18, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$99.01Feb 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kleber Mendonça Filho be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.64Jan 21, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Jan 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kleber Mendonça Filho be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 20, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $18.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.