Dirty-Testimonial
0xaf37c5516a1f8c83ae8c8489f8499de2722a6589
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$288.39
Total PnL
$-273.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1048 shares @ 9.5¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$130.51
$30.51
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$74.26
$-25.74
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$61.32
$-38.68
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.25
$-10.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.91
$-4.09
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.89
$-7.11
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$-8.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.34
$-0.96
- YES
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
140 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.