Animated-Riddle
0xaf458bee32b8f1d9ba39ee876f20c7e3ce62ec7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$268.9K
Total PnL
$100.0K
Realised
$-8.4K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
262626 shares @ 39.5¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.8K
$98.1K
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
18973 shares @ 82.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.5K
$2.8K
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
13046 shares @ 38.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.4K
$5.4K
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
24017 shares @ 50.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$10.2K
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.7K
$-5.00
- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
8699 shares @ 78.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.7K
$1.9K
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
340982 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.9K
$852.46
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
105064 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.6K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
2352 shares @ 49.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$673.36
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
3558 shares @ 40.4¢·now 31.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.1K
$-305.59
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.45Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.45Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- MERGEMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$105.58Jun 11, 04:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$62.29Jun 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$25.93Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.3KJun 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$225.53Jun 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$7.1KJun 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$123.07Jun 10, 02:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$8.42Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$1.45Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.47Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$117.19Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$1.45Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.23Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.40Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $2.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.