Male-Outline
0xaf4b39cb576927616886d7badc8fba0fc6a75abe
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$28.86
Total PnL
$-14.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$20.96
$-9.04
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.00Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 6, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 4, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12.16Jun 4, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 16, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.99Apr 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$30.00Apr 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.03Apr 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 16, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$26.14Apr 16, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 16, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Apr 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Apr 15, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Apr 15, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.00Apr 15, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Apr 15, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $8.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.