Academic-Structure
0xaf514457113fc2c09496ba95d2f9539e37ffd3c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$17.78
Total PnL
$-39.87
Realised
$-8.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$2.30
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET
1500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET
800 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET
486 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7PM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET
196 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.01Jun 5, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4.92Jun 4, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 4, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.95Jun 4, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.03Jun 4, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.98Jun 4, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Jun 4, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.99Jun 4, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.01Jun 4, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.98Jun 3, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.01Jun 3, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$4.57Jun 3, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$3.43Jun 3, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$8.00May 28, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.94May 28, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.05May 28, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$6.77May 28, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?$9.01May 21, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET$0.00May 21, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET$0.00May 21, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".