Bouncy-Capability
0xaf5747b3fa913e97fcbc8c608e5dc17986983ded
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.92
Total PnL
$-19.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 18?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
2 shares @ 63.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.57
$0.57
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of February?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
1305 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 2, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.46Mar 1, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$1.17Mar 1, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$0.01Mar 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.21Mar 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$0.33Mar 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$3.18Mar 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.54Mar 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.44Mar 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$4.53Mar 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.63Mar 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.77Mar 1, 14:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 1, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.67Feb 27, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 01:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.