New-Maniac
0xaf749a750b1366d667736cd5f8c5dda65f94d478
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$382.07
Total PnL
$-320.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$333.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
654 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$49.07
$9.81
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?
440 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-325.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$13.10Jun 3, 09:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.06Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.87Jun 2, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.58Jun 2, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$40.74Jun 2, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$134.73Jun 2, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$193.27Jun 2, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $49.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.