Simplistic-Porthole
0xaf87e00c2ce951a9bdb2630314ea7b5e804ccc46
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$190.07
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Botafogo FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
200 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$61.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-25?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$43.00
$1.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.00
$-13.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Salford City FC win on 2026-05-25?
75 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.04
$-28.46
- YES
Will Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC end in a draw?
75 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.04
$-23.21
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
893 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.67
- KINGS
Kings vs. Thunder
459 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-36.70
- PACERS
Spurs vs. Pacers
350 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$63.28May 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-25?$43.00May 25, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-05-25?$0.97May 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-05-25?$53.88May 25, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-05-25?$71.48May 25, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-05-25?$64.93May 25, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-05-25?$7.95May 25, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC end in a draw?$15.92May 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC end in a draw?$7.33May 25, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salford City FC win on 2026-05-25?$29.03May 25, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-25?$21.88May 25, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-05-25?$27.12May 25, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-24?$170.00May 25, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?$19.48May 24, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?$23.08May 24, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?$34.96May 24, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-24?$41.73May 24, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$34.81May 24, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?$67.35May 24, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?$167.83May 24, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $25.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".