Common-Ballot
0xaf98fcdf692ad32b523b87217672ae416735ffc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-84.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
2875 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$761.88
$71.88
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
851 shares @ 47.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$412.77
$12.77
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
451 shares @ 59.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$308.78
$38.78
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
1900 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.00
$-228.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
40 shares @ 37.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.60
$19.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$270.00Jun 7, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$268.43Jun 1, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$92.74May 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$400.00May 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$618.24May 6, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$9.34May 1, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$16.06May 1, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$392.60May 1, 10:57 UTC
- REWARD$7.46May 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$14.80Apr 30, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $212.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.