Crowded-Theme
0xafa8b541ab497ec56e29f796b205913dd00b8753
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
100 shares @ 45.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$100.00
$54.70
- MISSOURI
Texas A&M vs. Missouri
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Manchester City vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
9730 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?
8288 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- TIGERS
Mariners vs. Tigers
4445 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$14.95Feb 26, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$30.35Feb 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13?$4.50Feb 13, 05:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.66Jan 3, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?$8.29Jan 2, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas A&M vs. Missouri$11.00Nov 9, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Tigers$162.86Oct 7, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Tigers$8.18Oct 7, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Tigers$1.8KOct 7, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$0.67Sep 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$340.80Sep 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$826.08Sep 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.50Aug 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$1.02Jul 3, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$4.65Jul 3, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.40Jun 22, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.00May 15, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMRed Wings vs. Utah$0.00May 15, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Clippers$0.00May 15, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBrewers vs. Guardians$10.0KMay 15, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $680.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".