Outstanding-Intuition
0xafb463a6851eaa9b3272efe2bcb61f93f8d55c1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-302.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
455 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-253.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
443 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
33 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
27 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$253.65Apr 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$253.65Apr 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$36.61Apr 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$187.18Apr 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$223.78Apr 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$165.32Apr 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$165.32Apr 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$168.73Apr 12, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$12.47Apr 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$16.29Apr 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$11.08Apr 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$132.38Apr 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$121.53Apr 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLClaude 4.7 released by June 30?$121.53Apr 12, 06:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $104.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.