Distorted-Trellis
0xafc19b97c117564d279f08797ae2cc6fd7cc2560
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$665.23
Total PnL
$-723.11
Realised
$41.49
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
49648 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$521.31
$-405.53
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
140 shares @ 69.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$72.80
$-23.80
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
160 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$21.60
$-0.80
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2262 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$16.96
$1.97
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.10
$1.10
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
138 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.30
$0.30
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
684 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.45
$-0.55
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
29 shares @ 41.2¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.37
$-7.63
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.19
$-1.81
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.13
$-1.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$95.00May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$14.64May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$4.83May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$22.40May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$21.91May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$4.32May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.10May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$6.90May 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$0.69May 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$33.81May 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$4.14May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$37.26May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$6.90May 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$7.01May 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$173.13May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.41May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$9.50May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.02May 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.02May 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.02May 18, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $24.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".