Alarmed-Parent
0xafe88f09fd595ca030ac18aae60932a5451cda74
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$65.55
Total PnL
$-288.56
Realised
$-11.63
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
268 shares @ 6.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.24
$10.04
- YES
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$20.37
$0.37
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.49
$-3.51
- NO
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.90
$2.40
- OVER
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?
1555 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-12.5)
1186 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- CHICAGO CUBS
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- INCOGNITO
Counter-Strike: Incognito vs InControl (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Group B
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12?$34.07Jun 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12?$35.67Jun 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.06Jun 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Carrascal be in Colombia's Starting 11?$17.54Jun 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Carrascal be in Colombia's Starting 11?$17.80Jun 12, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)$10.12Jun 12, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$8.89Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 11, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$2.06Jun 11, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$28.00Jun 11, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$32.00Jun 11, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$118.57Jun 11, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.02Jun 11, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$35.40Jun 11, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$156.00Jun 11, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.62Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $27.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.