Phony-Temporariness
0xafea94994576b7b70a073bae207a3130a80a230b
Quality score
97/100
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-56.91
Realised
$51.07
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
268 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$268.00
$37.52
- YES
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
265 shares @ 73.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$251.09
$57.64
- NO
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
233 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$233.00
$44.27
- NO
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
266 shares @ 45.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$231.42
$111.72
- NO
Will the US strike Syria next?
231 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.75
$62.30
- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
90 shares @ 31.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$59.85
$31.95
- YES
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
12 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$12.00
$3.12
- NO
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$1.08
- YES
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 22.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.00
$0.78
- NO
Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?
853 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-93.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$48.1976d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$149.3176d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$169.0676d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$83.1676d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$86.9476d ago
- REDEEMWill "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?$12.00102d ago
- REDEEMOver $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?$350.00102d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 9, 2026?$393.00102d ago
- TRADESELLWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.66103d ago
- TRADESELLWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$73.83103d ago
- TRADESELLWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$42.09103d ago
- TRADESELLWill "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?$3.82104d ago
- TRADEBUYOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$230.48104d ago
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$64.26104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Syria next?$168.45104d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$258.06104d ago
- TRADESELLWill John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?$33.64104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?$188.73104d ago
- TRADESELLWill Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$113.76104d ago
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$193.45104d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $96.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 105d ago
- Last active
- 76d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.