Phony-Temporariness
0xafea94994576b7b70a073bae207a3130a80a230b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$305.90
Total PnL
$-305.38
Realised
$-5.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
266 shares @ 45.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$246.05
$126.35
- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
90 shares @ 31.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$59.85
$31.95
- NO
Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?
853 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-93.83
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
353 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-314.17
- YES
Will Alexander Levy win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?
352 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-38.72
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
97 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Jun 9, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.00Jun 9, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Syria next?$230.75Jun 9, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?$233.00Jun 9, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$265.00Jun 9, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$268.00Jun 9, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$48.19Feb 8, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$149.31Feb 8, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$169.06Feb 8, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$83.16Feb 8, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$86.94Feb 8, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?$12.00Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMOver $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?$350.00Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 9, 2026?$393.00Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.66Jan 11, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$73.83Jan 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$42.09Jan 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?$3.82Jan 11, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$230.48Jan 11, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $108.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.