Cheerful-Rye
0xaff7274b294f27937e881895cef516b9a1ffdc00
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$178.39
Total PnL
$-553.92
Realised
$3.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
276 shares @ 7.2¢·now 24.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$67.76
$47.76
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?
1836 shares @ 10.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$63.34
$-136.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 22?
1600 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$40.00
$-71.97
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.29
$-12.71
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
3053 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
220 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-131.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
166 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
81 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.80
- OREGON
Oregon vs. Indiana
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 22?$111.30May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 22?$0.35May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 22?$0.34May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$212.47May 18, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$11.07May 18, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$12.50May 18, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$20.00Jan 31, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$113.75Jan 31, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$30.00Jan 31, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$10.00Jan 31, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?$100.00Jan 31, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$18.35Jan 30, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beyoncé perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?$5.00Jan 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$30.53Jan 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$4.00Jan 22, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$24.67Jan 22, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$21.95Jan 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?$1.15Jan 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$23.53Jan 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 16, 2026?$40.00Jan 22, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $22.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".