Pastel-Exclamation
0xb002aecbb8d5808927673d79d0af93f8de2ff151
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$127.13
Total PnL
$-215.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of July 13 2026?
127 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$127.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?
1453 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
1047 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?
690 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
643 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of July 13 2026?$127.00Jul 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.68Jul 17, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$41.04Jul 17, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June?$88.26Jul 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June?$88.01Jun 30, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$41.00Jun 30, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.97Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$13.11Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$103.30Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$103.10May 31, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?$102.87May 31, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?$103.02May 31, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$103.26May 31, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$103.17May 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in May?$103.17May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in May?$103.07May 29, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.96May 29, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMVicenza: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Mika Brunold$10.51May 29, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on May 28?$12.95May 29, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$92.56May 29, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $86.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.