Shiny-Scissors
0xb01554c2e192b7de79ea886f6513f7137956734b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$18.05
Total PnL
$-188.97
Realised
$25.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
36 shares @ 27.6¢·now 37.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.64
$3.64
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
678 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.41
$-25.59
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
15750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.97
- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
351 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gary Anderson win the PDC World Darts Championship?
262 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?
163 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
162 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
125 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will Melania say "Child" during AI talk on Friday?
75 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.20Jun 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Defense" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.35Jun 2, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$7.22May 14, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.71May 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$4.15May 14, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$15.97May 14, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$29.54May 14, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$51.27May 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$15.52May 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.38May 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$15.57May 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.19May 12, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Exeter City FC end in a draw?$39.10Apr 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Exeter City FC end in a draw?$10.00Apr 11, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.00Apr 10, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$20.00Apr 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$15.00Mar 21, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$10.00Mar 18, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$15.00Mar 18, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$7.00Mar 14, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $21.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".