Altruistic-Meander
0xb02155025e539e8218b35bc4482569a48cd05b2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$36.36
Total PnL
$-21.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.01
$0.01
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.69
$6.69
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.98
$3.98
- YES
Will Google dip to $275 in March?
5 shares @ 18.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.38
$4.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$3.85
$2.85
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of March 2026?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.45
$1.45
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 25?$1.00Mar 24, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 25?$1.00Mar 24, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?$1.00Mar 24, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google dip to $275 in March?$1.00Mar 24, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 24, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 24, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Mar 24, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$3.00Mar 24, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of March 2026?$2.00Mar 24, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?$2.00Mar 24, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.00Mar 24, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.00Mar 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?$3.00Mar 24, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$4.00Mar 24, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 24, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$5.00Mar 24, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$10.00Mar 24, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$9.00Mar 24, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.