Plaintive-Sneaker
0xb0232b6e9c5c61d13497aba25c4c415105c76d90
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$543.63
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-14.23
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
543 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$543.00
$0.54
- YES
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
1 shares @ 33.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$0.30
$-0.03
- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.61
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.07
$-0.84
- YES
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
749 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-82.39
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
609 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-487.20
- YES
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $800M and $900M at market close on IPO day?
541 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-281.32
- VILLARREAL CF
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
357 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-57.12
- FENERBAHCE
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
261 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-127.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$62.36Apr 27, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$5.00Apr 27, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$6.75Apr 27, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$6.75Apr 27, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$97.09Apr 23, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.00Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?$1.00Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.34Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$5.00Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$215.00Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)$831.00Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)$1.5KApr 15, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$215.00Apr 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$215.27Apr 9, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$220.95Apr 7, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?$67.73Mar 31, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?$76.86Mar 31, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$75.14Mar 30, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?$161.50Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$69.36Mar 29, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $166.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.