Orderly-Coincidence
0xb030baa4b44b0f8c780c83a9bb6bec0ec5d69afd
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$139.89
Total PnL
$-19.2K
Realised
$-321.02
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
67 shares @ 42.0¢·now 61.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$41.14
$13.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?
7122 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
6545 shares @ 80.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 17?
1500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-240.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9?
1500 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-690.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?
1301 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-519.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?
1000 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-440.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 23?
1000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?
1000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-459.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$28.14Jun 1, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$28.41Jun 1, 13:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$28.50May 31, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00May 31, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$428.15May 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$255.72May 20, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Camila Osorio$26.58May 20, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$282.72May 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$235.85May 18, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$235.89May 17, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$196.79May 17, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$33.33May 17, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$162.42May 17, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$113.69May 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$23.33May 16, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$6.93Mar 15, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $290.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".