Magnificent-Linen
0xb049a5ad0725bb2aa71a72664530b8a4bcc3eaec
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$16.36
Total PnL
$-5.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Ashton Jeanty record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Jean Smart (Hacks) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 11, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$1.00Feb 5, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Jan 28, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean Smart (Hacks) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Jan 5, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.00Dec 24, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 17, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Nov 26, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.00Nov 19, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.00Nov 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.00Oct 29, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$1.00Oct 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$1.12Oct 8, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.50 by December 31?$1.75Oct 8, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$1.00Oct 8, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Sep 24, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$1.00Sep 10, 13:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".