0xb05c5a04248d4d1eae52fa20ac7150b73f2635c9
0xb05c5a04248d4d1eae52fa20ac7150b73f2635c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$130.90
Total PnL
$-55.28
Realised
$-0.97
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$20.00
$10.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 5PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$20.00
$10.00
- NO
Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$20.00
$3.20
- F5 ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 2 Winner
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$13.00
$6.51
- FRENCH FLAIR
LoL: French Flair vs BIG - Game 2 Winner
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$9.00
$4.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10AM ET
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$8.00
$4.00
- YES
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.00
$3.92
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 11AM ET
8 shares @ 61.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$8.00
$3.06
- REGAIN
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group A
7 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$6.90
$3.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$6.00
$3.00
Recent activity
- MERGEIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$8.00Apr 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$4.16Apr 16, 14:45 UTC
- SPLITIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$8.00Apr 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.10Apr 10, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.42Apr 10, 01:24 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - April 9, 5PM ET$20.00Apr 9, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$6.17Apr 9, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$3.88Apr 9, 20:25 UTC
- MERGECounter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$6.00Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
- SPLITCounter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$6.00Apr 9, 20:17 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$18.00Apr 9, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexander Blockx vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5$2.03Apr 9, 16:14 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$18.00Apr 9, 16:08 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 15:56 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 15:48 UTC
- MERGET20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs France$17.00Apr 9, 15:39 UTC
- SPLITT20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs France$17.00Apr 9, 15:29 UTC
- MERGEEthereum Up or Down - April 9, 11AM ET$7.00Apr 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 9, 11AM ET$5.76Apr 9, 15:15 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - April 9, 11AM ET$7.00Apr 9, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.