Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?

• 1

  Up 9pp over 24h

  Now 20¢; flat in the last hour.

• 2

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 675h with open resolution ambiguity.

• 3

  Wide spread — 7.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

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This market will resolve according to the listed team that is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Turkish Süper Lig. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.” If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.