Golden-Salmon
0xb06901546c4eda54715416de241f4db9c0050e1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$38.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
5814 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1716 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-801.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
1299 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?
788 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-128.93
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
669 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
497 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
429 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?
371 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
365 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-108.83
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$6.92Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$645.16Jul 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$601.26Jul 4, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$632.26Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$600.94Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?$10.25Jul 3, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$3.0KJul 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$1.0KJul 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$101.77Jul 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$1.0KJul 3, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$141.84Jul 3, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$100.88Jul 3, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$4.16Jul 3, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$49.39Jul 3, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$100.89Jul 3, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$101.02Jul 3, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$110.35Jul 3, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?$116.17Jul 3, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?$100.63Jul 3, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$100.34Jul 3, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $521.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.