Young-Chitchat
0xb0747e0f8d0a274fbca4b6304b5525a854919fb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$184.85
Total PnL
$-440.77
Realised
$5.75
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
25 shares @ 77.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$21.04
$1.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.97
$7.78
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ 43.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.05
$6.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$16.10
$3.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$15.90
$3.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?
25 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$15.63
$-0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?
25 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$14.12
$-1.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$13.50
$-1.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.80
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.50
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 2?$5.37Jul 31, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?$9.83Jul 31, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?$0.38Jul 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?$4.42Jul 31, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?$11.87Jul 31, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?$0.61Jul 31, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?$1.44Jul 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?$15.75Jul 31, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1?$2.35Jul 31, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?$1.44Jul 31, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 30?$20.00Jul 31, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?$7.45Jul 31, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?$3.75Jul 31, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30?$20.00Jul 31, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$19.98Jul 30, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?$12.60Jul 30, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?$3.52Jul 30, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?$8.26Jul 30, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?$4.14Jul 30, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?$9.28Jul 30, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.