Lavish-Checking
0xb0761e4eb05b8903ce208bc36061e5d741f2bb35
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$6.72
Total PnL
$-768.29
Realised
$17.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.91
$-1.09
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
504 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
362 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-4.46
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1986 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
893 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
738 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-79.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.37Jul 11, 21:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.47Jul 7, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.45Jul 7, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.42Jul 7, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$102.73Jul 7, 12:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$312.34Jul 6, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $85.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.