Doting-Parsley
0xb076c9e260f03ad1eb307ed8a6528242ab3a7652
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5241 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
1947 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-273.00
- YES
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1496 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in the Antioquia Department?
916 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sergio Fajardo place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
254 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$7.01Jun 21, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$0.00Jun 21, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.29Jun 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$36.26Jun 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$3.10May 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$640.42May 29, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$155.22May 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.04May 28, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$20.69May 28, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.35May 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.40May 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Fajardo place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.74May 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$103.37May 28, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$103.56May 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.0KMay 28, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $152.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.