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PoliticsExpires May 31, 2026

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-6.0pp

24h Vol

$1.7K

Liquidity

$20.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:37
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 876.4h

    LOW
  • 01:37Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 876h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 01:37Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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