Famous-Walkway
0xb08831ea1f64ffee5e255e65ebb7a94671173862
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$522.43
Total PnL
$-367.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
542 shares @ 60.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$457.93
$127.93
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
358 shares @ 30.7¢·now 18.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$64.51
$-45.49
- NO
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?
2344 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-185.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
367 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
331 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?
262 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-55.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?$193.52Jul 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$170.85Jul 15, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$118.49Jul 9, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?$57.28Jul 9, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?$113.05Jun 26, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$335.16May 31, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?$50.00Dec 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Dec 19, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?$50.02Nov 5, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?$501.15Nov 5, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$120.00Oct 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$90.00Oct 20, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?$134.00Oct 20, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?$203.00Oct 20, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$49.44Jun 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$175.00Jun 25, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$100.00Jun 25, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$10.00Jun 25, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$36.92Jun 25, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$415.70Jun 25, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $110.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.