Front-Literate
0xb0899f8396f1059dc01fa0a1e2835a679d3adac4
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$47.95
Total PnL
$-58.22
Realised
$2.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
21 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.57
$0.57
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
16 shares @ 79.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.05
$3.32
- NO
Spain snap election called in 2026?
15 shares @ 83.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.32
$-1.13
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
235 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-43.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$11.50Apr 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$17.00Apr 24, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$23.00Apr 23, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$31.50Apr 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$50.32Apr 23, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$12.00Apr 22, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$6.91Apr 22, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$5.52Apr 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$15.45Apr 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$14.00Apr 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$8.50Apr 22, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$11.00Apr 22, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$17.02Apr 22, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$14.95Apr 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$14.58Apr 22, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$5.00Apr 22, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$15.20Apr 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$8.00Apr 22, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.