Different-Doorway
0xb0b44406e4fe456cc5c45eeaabdd9aea5a55c24e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-55.88
Realised
$4.26
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2025-10-04?
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-12.17
- YES
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-05?
21 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will D.C. United SC win on 2025-10-04?
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-10-05?
7 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-05?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
7 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-05?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Austin FC win on 2025-10-04?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-20?
7 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?$21.85Jul 1, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?$18.13Jun 30, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$18.36Jun 30, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$17.11May 15, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?$10.05Apr 28, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.95Apr 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.66Apr 22, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.00Apr 20, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$6.00Apr 20, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLClaude 4.7 released by April 30?$10.45Apr 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by April 30?$10.17Apr 14, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$2.08Feb 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$0.04Feb 16, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$3.89Feb 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$3.11Feb 16, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$7.53Feb 16, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMGPT ads by March 31?$5.00Feb 16, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$2.03Feb 5, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$2.00Feb 2, 17:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 01:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.