Well-Documented-Standard
0xb0beb000cd0ffaa4e3074b8688d449da393e2c6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$27.75
Total PnL
$-500.15
Realised
$9.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
30 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.75
$1.05
- YES
Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?
507 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
315 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
110 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?
110 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
110 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
60 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
39 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$102.95Jul 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$202.95Jul 11, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$103.42Jul 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$102.22Jul 11, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$175.59Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.00Mar 22, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.00Mar 22, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$10.20Mar 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?$10.00Mar 16, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$50.00Mar 9, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition$10.00Mar 7, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$110.89Mar 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$100.00Feb 27, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$10.00Feb 27, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$10.00Feb 27, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$19.74Feb 27, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.60Feb 27, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $36.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.