Victorious-Tape-Max
0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$175.14
Total PnL
$132.9K
Realised
$147.0K
Win rate
37%
105 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
26594 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$13.30
$-285.48
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6583 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.29
$-202.43
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6583 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.29
$-202.43
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6583 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.29
$-202.43
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6583 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.29
$-202.43
- YES
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
6388 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.19
$-529.14
- YES
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
6272 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.14
$-519.51
- YES
Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
5957 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.98
$-235.29
- YES
Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
5761 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.88
$-227.55
- YES
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5431 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.72
$-167.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Moreirense FC win on 2026-08-09?$0.42Aug 9, 21:24 UTC
- CONVERSIONMoreirense FC vs. SC Braga$209.26Aug 9, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?$52.13Aug 9, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Braga win on 2026-08-09?$125.28Aug 9, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Braga win on 2026-08-09?$25.39Aug 9, 21:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONSport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Académico de Viseu FC$122.86Aug 9, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09?$44.25Aug 9, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-08-09?$59.62Aug 9, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Académico de Viseu FC end in a draw?$18.43Aug 9, 21:19 UTC
- CONVERSIONCuiabá EC vs. Fortaleza EC$18.18Aug 9, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cuiabá EC win on 2026-08-09?$4.12Aug 9, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cuiabá EC vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?$6.81Aug 9, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fortaleza EC win on 2026-08-09?$7.09Aug 9, 21:18 UTC
- CONVERSIONLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?$70.00Aug 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 10?$9.62Aug 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10?$6.50Aug 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 10?$9.89Aug 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 10?$6.71Aug 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?$9.99Aug 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on August 10?$9.98Aug 9, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
37% win rate over 105 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
105 closed markets, 37% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $31.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 105 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.