Victorious-Tape-Max
0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$31.27
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-77.03
Win rate
7%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1980 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$-75.15
- YES
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1570 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.79
$-313.21
- YES
Will William Moses win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
1370 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.69
$-43.51
- YES
Will David Hughes win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
1370 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.69
$-43.51
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
530 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-17.75
- YES
Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.50
$-4.45
- YES
Will another outcome occur in the NY-13 Democratic Primary?
311 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.47
$-43.95
- YES
Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
270 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.40
$-6.02
- YES
Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
233 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.35
$-5.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on June 25?
686 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.34
$-62.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 25?$1.29Jun 25, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 25?$28.66Jun 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 25?$29.86Jun 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 25?$29.97Jun 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 25?$29.97Jun 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?$29.91Jun 25, 19:19 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 26?$8.14Jun 25, 19:19 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 26?$9.09Jun 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 10% or more?$0.03Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 26?$9.08Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?$8.65Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?$5.11Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 26?$9.07Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 26?$9.03Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 26?$9.03Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?$5.47Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 26?$9.08Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 26?$8.09Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?$0.04Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?$3.19Jun 25, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
46 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 19:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.