Clueless-Arrest
0xb0d62e7959377b18fd63b772c74147724e0e7475
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$30.64
Total PnL
$-35.9K
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
50%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4630 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$-60.25
- YES
Will OG Anunoby Jr. be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4273 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$-67.91
- YES
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4253 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-67.59
- YES
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4253 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-67.59
- YES
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4253 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-67.59
- YES
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
3909 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-62.12
- YES
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
3909 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-62.12
- YES
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2940 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$-38.25
- YES
Will Leisa Mitchell Haynes win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
1187 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.59
$-48.88
- YES
Will Ryan Walters win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
1187 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.59
$-48.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.27Jul 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?$0.41Jul 6, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$0.15Jul 5, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$0.01Jul 5, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?$0.27Jul 5, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?$0.11Jul 5, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?$0.10Jul 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$0.11Jul 5, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?$0.03Jul 5, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for New York Giants next?$0.01Jul 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for New Orleans Saints next?$0.01Jul 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Chargers next?$0.01Jul 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Houston Texans next?$0.01Jul 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.09Jul 5, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colorado Rockies win the 2026 NL West title?$0.08Jul 4, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$0.01Jul 4, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Aiyuk play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27?$0.03Jul 4, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kobey Layne win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?$0.01Jul 4, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Buffalo Bills next?$0.01Jul 4, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner win more than 90% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?$0.01Jul 4, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 68 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
68 closed markets, 50% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 14:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.