Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$18.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 900.1h
- 11:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 900h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).