Firsthand-Beard
0xb0e96594d08c7ea165f725620494479732342deb
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$12.82
Total PnL
$0.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.46
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.39
$0.06
- NO
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.30
$0.05
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.30
$0.08
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.26
$0.00
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.26
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Apr 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?$1.20Apr 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.34Apr 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.45Apr 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.25Apr 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00Apr 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.26Apr 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.34Apr 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.33Apr 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.22Apr 17, 06:35 UTC
- MERGEWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.6KApr 17, 06:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Apr 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Apr 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Apr 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Apr 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Apr 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Apr 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Apr 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.