Querulous-Design
0xb108aeb1f84201076b6d65454f8d2d977aadcec5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
138
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-322.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will another party win the second most seats in the next German election?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Everton wins the Premier League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will BSW win the second most seats in the next German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joao Almeida win the Tour de France 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B$1.25Jul 21, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5$5.00Jun 30, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5$1.58Jun 29, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)$1.07May 31, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$1.33May 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)$1.13May 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5$1.02May 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)$1.53May 18, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner$5.00May 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.83May 16, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5$1.02May 14, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$5.00May 14, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$1.48May 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner$1.53May 11, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Golden Knights (-1.5)$5.00May 11, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Golden Knights (-1.5)$3.50May 10, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner$1.63May 9, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5$1.33May 7, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner$5.00May 6, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner$1.94May 6, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.