Innocent-Nobody
0xb120679099d26b0af04811c26c6077c587f9f2ff
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$970.14
Realised
$638.48
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1412 shares @ 75.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.3K
$261.54
- YES
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
947 shares @ 53.4¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$686.57
$180.44
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
21245 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$616.09
$282.21
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
1600 shares @ 27.9¢·now 35.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$562.40
$115.65
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
694 shares @ 64.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$482.56
$38.12
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
1111 shares @ 41.7¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$444.44
$-18.67
- YES
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
1250 shares @ 46.6¢·now 23.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$288.13
$-294.71
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
280 shares @ 79.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$259.97
$36.85
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
263 shares @ 76.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$256.98
$56.97
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
322 shares @ 82.7¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.21
$-76.53
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$38.703m ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$19.5051m ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Timberwolves (-1.5)$80.501h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Timberwolves (-1.5)$17.021h ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$0.213h ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$205.933h ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$300.003h ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$94.1018h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.2018h ago
- REDEEMSpread: Celtics (-8.5)$0.0019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kobey Layne win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?$100.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$373.4520h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Rockets (-9.5)$0.6620h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.9422h ago
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$56.2122h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Rockets (-9.5)$4.7422h ago
- REWARD$1.4123h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-9.5)$28.0223h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-9.5)$0.9923h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-9.5)$24.5923h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $107.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 3m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.