Impressive-Virus
0xb13773081c858737471a884385abecbe69ee8039
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$55.16
Total PnL
$-675.74
Realised
$8.09
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
168 shares @ 32.7¢·now 22.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$37.60
$-17.40
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.46
$0.21
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 37.1¢·now 40.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Reform UK win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
75000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
55000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 11 2026?
35000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
1049 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-38.54
- CASPER RUUD
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud
667 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$3.01Jun 18, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$5.88Jun 18, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.87Jun 18, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$11.81Jun 18, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$29.76Jun 18, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$45.45Jun 18, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMHamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea$140.08Jun 18, 16:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.46May 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$155.75May 24, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$18.68May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$25.66May 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$30.74May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$25.52May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$25.70May 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$30.79May 17, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea$25.36May 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone$25.56May 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$25.34May 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea$25.30May 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea$30.36May 17, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $30.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.