Big-Hearted-Dramaturge
0xb13d94f14a925ba0f6525f9c6826e0fc78f6f496
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$80.44
Total PnL
$-281.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of July 13 2026?
70 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$70.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.37
$-0.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 20-26?
831 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?
752 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?
739 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28?
725 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?
724 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 28?
720 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 7?
678 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of July 13 2026?$70.00Jul 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$5.14Jul 17, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $270 end of June?$75.08Jul 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $270 end of June?$75.00Jun 27, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $240?$75.08Jun 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $240?$75.00Jun 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$75.76Jun 12, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$75.68Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$4.84Jun 1, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$11.91Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$68.61Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$68.54May 31, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays$4.18May 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$72.69May 31, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$72.41May 30, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$71.90May 30, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$72.03May 30, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2$6.24May 30, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$11.90May 30, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$90.71May 30, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $69.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.