Familiar-Embarrassment
0xb15f9d67a2ade52467bf57a321c6815a9d05e0d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.06
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.06
$-97.94
- BRAVES
Diamondbacks vs. Braves
412 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2025$0.00
$-396.34
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
400 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-208.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
373 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-04?
296 shares @ 84.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
273 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$61.22Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$101.38Jun 12, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$30.80Jun 11, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$83.33Jun 10, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$50.60Jun 10, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia win on 2026-06-09?$10.12Jun 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09?$10.12Jun 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$203.95Jun 8, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$4.05Jun 8, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$7.17Jun 7, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$100.00Jun 7, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$5.12Jun 7, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-06?$40.98Jun 7, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?$62.50Jun 7, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-06?$116.28Jun 7, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$386.06Jun 7, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-06?$100.42Jun 7, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-06?$30.24Jun 6, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?$30.47Jun 6, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-06?$15.62Jun 6, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $99.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.