Probable-Acid
0xb16055747c8b99216bf3528d9709a7baf35658ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$74.35
Total PnL
$-41.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
207 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$36.26
$-1.04
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$22.72
$12.72
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 New Zealand?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$7.63
$2.63
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
131 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$4.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 New Zealand?
17 shares @ 29.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$3.65
$-1.34
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Chile?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.03
$-4.97
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Chile?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.02
$-4.98
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Chile?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.02
$-4.98
- YES
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Germany?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.01
$-4.99
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-06?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 0 New Zealand?$5.11Jun 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 New Zealand?$5.09Jun 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-06?$1.03Jun 6, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 3 Germany?$5.11Jun 6, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$5.00Jun 6, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Chile?$49.49Jun 6, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$10.17Jun 6, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal leading at halftime?$32.98Jun 6, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Chile?$5.13Jun 6, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Chile?$5.13Jun 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Chile?$5.13Jun 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Chile?$5.14Jun 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$38.52Jun 6, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $13.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.