0xb16582e1de16d044567db61a4216f4aa48f1d9ff
0xb16582e1de16d044567db61a4216f4aa48f1d9ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$112.54
Total PnL
$-271.92
Realised
$-134.90
Win rate
42%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
30 shares @ 77.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$29.54
$6.53
- YES
Will Seth Rogen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$11.76
$1.76
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
11 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$10.70
$0.70
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
8 shares @ 39.8¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.79
$2.79
- YES
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.72
$1.72
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
5 shares @ 27.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.49
$3.99
- YES
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 56.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.30
$2.30
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 78.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.10
$1.10
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
4 shares @ 45.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$4.28
$2.33
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$4.21
$0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.00May 12, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?$0.00May 12, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?$2.44May 12, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$0.00Apr 30, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$0.00Apr 30, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$1.00Apr 28, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$1.00Apr 28, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$1.50Apr 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$2.27Apr 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$1.00Apr 27, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?$1.00Apr 27, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$1.00Apr 27, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?$1.00Apr 27, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?$1.00Apr 27, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$1.00Apr 27, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$1.00Apr 27, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.97Apr 27, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$0.94Apr 27, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?$1.14Apr 27, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.