Academic-Daisy
0xb17999a35c4c1382363a3bf1b4b336074c608cf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$20.60
Total PnL
$-468.19
Realised
$14.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
56 shares @ 17.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.10
$-1.90
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
2085 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
1897 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in December 2025?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
561 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?
400 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.70
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
350 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in December 2025?
350 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?$37.50May 28, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 9?$36.36May 28, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 8?$31.75May 28, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$30.00May 28, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$7.80May 28, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMBill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30? $60.00May 28, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$34.08Apr 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.00Mar 7, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$20.00Mar 7, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 8?$20.00Mar 7, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 9?$20.00Mar 7, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in December 2025?$7.85Dec 8, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in December 2025?$13.91Dec 8, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in December 2025?$6.44Dec 8, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?$7.36Dec 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?$0.06Dec 2, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?$0.67Dec 2, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?$0.50Dec 2, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?$0.12Dec 2, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?$0.35Dec 2, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".